Programme

Day One

8:00

Attendees reception and welcome breakfast

9:00

Official opening

9:30

Opening: AZTI

9:40

Guest speaker

Recent changes in global ocean circulation and in the North Atlantic: have we already passed a tipping point?

In recent years, there has been growing debate over whether climate change is accelerating. The classical approach used to characterize climate trends, based on analysing time series spanning at least 30 years so that the statistical significance of the trend exceeds the intrinsic variability of the climate system, is not well suited to assessing a process that has unfolded over little more than a decade. However, this does not mean that the phenomenon cannot be analysed; rather, it requires different analytical tools. In particular, the use of satellite observations, owing to their broad synoptic coverage and high temporal repeatability, makes it possible to improve spatio-temporal coverage and derive statistical indicators suitable for detecting rapid changes.

In this presentation, we will provide a brief overview of the recent trends observed in a range of climate variables, particularly those related to the oceans. Some of these changes are so dramatic and so widespread that it is difficult to deny that the Earth’s climate system is undergoing a profound transformation. In particular, by applying information theory techniques to the processing of satellite-derived sea surface temperature data, it is possible to identify an abrupt change that appears to have occurred during the second half of 2014, coinciding with the failed onset of the exceptionally strong 2015–2016 El Niño event. Notably, many of the time series analysed exhibit trend shifts beginning in 2014 or 2015. One particularly significant example is the Earth’s radiative imbalance measured by NASA’s CERES programme, which underwent an abrupt change in trend, increasing by a factor of 3.6 relative to the pre-2014 period.

Finally, we will present the changes that can be identified in the global ocean circulation since 2014 and examine how they are connected to the ongoing scientific debate over the slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

Antonio Turiel

Research Scientist, Spanish National Research Council (CSIC), Institute of Marine Sciences of Barcelona.

CHALLENGES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

10:15

Oral communications

10:15

Decadal variability and long-term stability of the AMOC: the role of temporal context (1995–2025). Ander López-Puertas, Applied Physics Department, Faculty of Marine and Environmental Sciences, University of Cádiz.

10:25

Climate projections for wave conditions in the Cantabrian Sea: from the global to the local scale. Adrián Acevedo García, IHCantabria.

10:35

From air–sea CO₂ fluxes to blue carbon burial: resolving the coastal carbon budget of the Canary Islands. Aridane G. González, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.

10:45

Analyzing pH Trends Along the Basque Coast Using High‑Frequency SAMI‑pH Measurements and Long‑Term Observations. Ernesto Villarino, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

10:55

Panel discussion. Moderator: Ganix Esnaola (EHU).

14:05

Networking coffee - Poster session and visit the exhibition area

10:15

Oral communications

11:45

Increasing Impact of Saharan Intrusions on Air Quality in Atlantic Iberia. Asier Ortuzar Andres, University of the Basque Country (EHU).

11:55

Tracking hydroclimatic change on the northern basque coast and its implications for mucilage‑favourable conditions. Claire Kermorvant, University of Pau and the Adour Region.

12:05

Monitoring harmful algal blooms on the French Atlantic coast: species shift and environmental drivers of Ostreopsis blooms at Erromardie beach (Saint-Jean-de-Luz, France). Audrey Commault, Rivages Pro Tech SUEZ.

12:15

Effects of climate change before the start of the food web. David González Santana, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC), Institute of Oceanography and Global Change (IOCAG).

12:25

Panel discussion. Moderator: Ganix Esnaola (EHU).

12:35

Coupled ARIES – Hydrodynamic models to Assess Fisheries Dynamics under Climate Change. Pearlin Sam Jinoj, Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3).

12:45

Navigating Future Waters: The Resilience of the Atlantic Bluefin Tuna under Climate Change. Maite Erauskin-Extramiana, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

12:55

Thermal structuring of seabird and cetacean communities in the Bay of Biscay from long‑term ecosystem‑based monitoring. Amaia Astarloa, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

13:05

Panel discussion. Moderator: Ganix Esnaola (EHU).

COASTAL AND OCEAN CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION

10:15

Oral communications

13:15

Long-term blue carbon stocks in the marshes of the Butroe Estuary, Bizkaia. Alejandro Cearreta, University of the Basque Country (EHU).

13:25

Restoration of the Bidasoa estuary for blue carbon sequestration and climate change adaptation: monitoring program and numerical simulations. Roland Garnier, AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

13:35

Advancing the Decarbonisation of Fishing Vessels. Joseba Castresana, AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

13:45

From Data to Decisions: CMP Stage 2 Coastal Analysis and Lessons for Atlantic Europe. June Gainza, Bluecoast Consulting Engineers.

13:55

Panel discussion. Moderator: Rafael Sardá (CEAB-CSIC / ESADE).

14:05

Networking lunch

COASTAL RISKS AND EXTREME EVENTS

10:15

Oral communications

15:00

Coastal–Offshore thermal variability through consecutive summer glider deployments and mooring data in the Bay of Biscay. Nadine Steiger, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

15:10

STORMPACT: Operational Forecasting of Wave Overtopping along the French Basque Coast. Erwan Imbertie, SUEZ, Rivages Pro Tech,

15:20

Application of videometry to monitor the impact of waves on a coastal sea wall. Camille Lavayssiere, University of Pau and the Adour Region (UPPA).

15:30

Dynamic projections of future changes in extreme sea levels along western Europe and their drivers. Maialen Irazoqui, Shelf Models.

15:40

Real-time coastal flood forecasting through GPU-accelerated Boussinesq modelling. Víctor Loras Herrero, University of Pau and the Adour Region (UPPA).

15:50

Panel discussion. Moderators: Jose María Grassa (IAHR / CEDEX) & Néstor Urrutxua (Basque Association of Civil Engineers).

16:00

The influence of an offshore sediment depot to infragravity wave propagation upstream the river Adour. Panu Pietikainen, Rivages Pro Tech SUEZ.

16:10

Advanced modelling of Hs using deep learning in the arrigunaga coastal environment. Manuel Viñes Recasens, Polytechnic University of Catalonia – BarcelonaTech (UPC), Maritime Engineering Laboratory (LIM).

16:20

Preliminary Impact Assessment of Regional Climate Adaptation Actions: Insights from Four European Coastal Regions. Igone García Perez, TECNALIA Research & Innovation.

16:30

Future Wave Conditions Along the North Western Mediterranean Sea from CMIP6 Wind Projections: the Impact of Bias Correction. Solstice Kraszeski, Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC) – Maritime Engineering Laboratory (LIM).

16:40

Influence of Sea-Level Variations on Storm Waves and Coastal Impacts along European Coastlines under Climate Change. Alisée Chaigneau, IHCantabria.

16:50

Panel discussion. Moderators: Jose María Grassa (IAHR / CEDEX) & Néstor Urrutxua (Basque Association of Civil Engineers).

17:00

The socio-economic value of climate services in the Pacific: a cost-effective investment in the face of extreme events. Gontzal Ruiz Beneitez, Metroeconomica.

17:10

Digital Monitoring of a Nature-Based Coastal Dune System for Climate Resilience: The Regions4Climate Project Case Study in Tuscany Region. Arianna Verga, RINA Consulting.

17:20

Carbon Implications of Protect, Accommodate, and Retreat Adaptation Strategies: A Comparative Assessment for a Low-Lying Danish Coast. Mark Randall, University of Copenhagen.

17:30

Coastal risk assessment using stress tests. Moisés Álvarez-Cuesta, IHCantabria.

17:40

Transient rip currents on uniform beaches: linking wave conditions to beach-safety risk. Volker Roeber, University of Bergen.

15:50

Panel discussion. Moderators: Jose María Grassa (IAHR / CEDEX) & Néstor Urrutxua (Basque Association of Civil Engineers).

16:55

END OF THE FIRST WORKING DAY

Simultaneous translation into Spanish, French and English will be provided for all sessions.
Day Two

8:30

Attendees reception and welcome coffee

9:00

Guest speaker:

CAPACIDAD DE ADAPTACIÓN Y RESILIENCIA DE LOS MARES EUROPEOS BAJO TRAYECTORIAS CONTRASTADAS DE CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO Y MÚLTIPLES INTERVENCIONES DE GESTIÓN

En el marco del proyecto de la UE FutureMARES exploramos las consecuencias de escenarios de Cambio Climático (CC) e intervenciones de gestión sobre la biodiversidad, el funcionamiento de los ecosistemas y la provisión de servicios de los mares europeos. Se utilizan siete modelos Ecospace que representan tanto los mares regionales (Mar del Norte, Mar Báltico, Golfo de Vizcaya y Mar Mediterráneo Occidental) como las subregiones de estas áreas (Mar Báltico Local, Mar Mediterráneo Noroccidental y la Plataforma Portuguesa) para simular mecánicamente las narrativas de reducción de escala Sostenibilidad Global (GS), Empresa Nacional (NE), Mercados Mundiales (WM) para contrastar escenarios SSP mediante datos ambientales estandarizados de reducción de escala. Las intervenciones de gestión bajo diferentes opciones de Soluciones Basadas en la Naturaleza (SBN) incluyen protección, restauración y gestión pesquera traducidas a contextos regionales, legislaciones y marcos legales. Se evalúa el impacto del cambio climático y de las actividades humanas, cuantificando las trayectorias espaciotemporales de especies comerciales y vulnerables clave, así como indicadores ecológicos y económicos seleccionados. Se comparan las ventajas y desventajas de las estrategias de gestión en función de su impacto sobre la diversidad de especies, la función y prestación de servicios de los ecosistemas y la resistencia al cambio climático.
Nuestros resultados colectivos proyectan realidades ecológicas y socioeconómicas distintas a medio (2050) y largo plazo (2100), lo que sugiere que las NBS (por ejemplo, restauración de especies formadoras de hábitat y protección de áreas clave, reducción de la carga de nutrientes y consecución de objetivos de conservación en relación con las AMP – 30%) combinadas con acciones de sostenibilidad pesquera (por ejemplo, reducción del esfuerzo pesquero y reducción de descartes y capturas accesorias, establecimiento de áreas restringidas de pesca) pueden desempeñar un papel vital en la mitigación del impacto futuro del CC. Los resultados muestran trayectorias divergentes para muchas especies e indicadores entre los escenarios y sus análogos de CC. Ante el aumento previsto de la temperatura y la disminución de la producción primaria en todos los escenarios climáticos, nuestras simulaciones ponen de relieve que las intervenciones de gestión basadas en los ecosistemas son cruciales para configurar los futuros estados ecológicos y socioeconómicos de los mares europeos, y subrayan la importancia de una gestión proactiva de los mares regionales europeos.

Marta Coll

Senior researcher, Instituto de Ciencias del Mar (ICM) - CSIC; Barcelona

9:35

Round table

Taking action on adaptation: projects that are transforming the coastline

Climate change adaptation is no longer a challenge for the future. From dune restoration and protection against sea-level rise to the reorganisation of vulnerable infrastructure, this panel will showcase real-world initiatives that are helping to build more resilient coastlines.

Project for the implementation of works to mitigate the effects of climate change associated with rising sea levels and wave action on Zarautz beach and its surroundings (Narros-Munoa area)

Iratxe García de Vicuña

Head of the Technical Office, Zarautz City Council

10:55

Networking coffee - Poster session and visit the exhibition area

COASTAL RISKS AND EXTREME EVENTS

11:25

Oral communications

11:25

Validation and analysis of maritime and coastal risk warnings/alerts/alarms: impact on the Basque coast. Santiago Gaztelumendi, Euskalmet – Basque Meteorological Agency.

11:35

Climate-related hazards along the Cantabrian coast associated with coastal flooding. Melisa Menendez, IHCantabria.

11:45

A new scenario for extreme events in the Cantabrian Sea: implications for Spanish ports of general interest. David Lucio, IHCantabria.

11:55

Multi-technique facilities as the key in modern geodesy: the PASA case study. Joaquin Zurutuza, ARANZADI Society of Sciences.

12:05

Analysis of absolute sea level trends along the Basque coast, based on sea level and GNSS observations at the ports of Pasaia and Bilbao. Aitor Aginaga, ARANZADI Society of Sciences.

12:15

Panel discussion. Moderators: Jose María Grassa (IAHR / CEDEX) & Néstor Urrutxua (Basque Association of Civil Engineers).

12:25

Round table

Thinking about adaptation: strategies and governance for the coast of the future

Climate change is forcing us to rethink how we plan, protect and manage our coastal areas. This panel will bring together a range of experiences and governance tools that are shaping climate change adaptation in the Basque Country and across other Atlantic Arc regions.

Review of the Basque Autonomous Community’s Sectoral Territorial Plan for the Protection and Management of the Coastline

Mikel Gargallo

Director of Planning, Department of Housing and Urban Agenda, Basque Government

KAIA: a coordination forum for developing demonstration projects on climate change adaptation in the Basque Country

Marimar Alonso

Director of Climate Action, Ihobe, Basque Government

Provincial Videometry Network as a Decision Support Tool for Management and Decision-Making

Nerea Egia

Environmental Technician, Gipuzkoa Provincial Council

The local coastal risk management strategy in Iparralde: A case study of territorial governance led by the Communauté d’Agglomération Pays Basque (CAPB) in response to coastal challenges

Caroline Sarrade

Director of Coastal and Natural Environment, Communauté d'Agglomération Pays Basque

GOVERNANCE, MANAGEMENT TOOLS AND COMMUNICATION

11:25

Oral communications

13:25

The roads in Coastal Management and Protection Plans in a climate change scenario: a case study in Biscay. José María de Ortuzar, University of the Basque Country (EHU).

13:35

Early warning system for coastal flooding in an enclosed bay: the case of Pasaia. Irati Epelde, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA) and Joana Auzokoa, Pasaia Town Hall.

13:45

Yes, to regional transformative adaptation – but only with time and money. Johannes Klein, Demos Helsinki.

13:55

50… years of change around Txingudi. Raúl Castro-Uranga, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).

14:05

Panel discussion. Moderators: Nerea Egia (Provincial Council of Gipuzkoa) and Aurélie Bocquet-Escourrou (GIS Littoral Basque).

14:20

Closure

14:30

END OF THE CONFERENCE

Simultaneous translation into Spanish, French and English will be provided for all sessions.

Exploring changes in the distribution of seabirds and cetaceans in the Bay of Biscay: relationship with local climate changes and regime shift. Emilie Milon, Biarritz Sea Centre.
Analysis of the bacteriological quality of the sand on the beaches of Ea and Isuntza (Lekeitio) in Bizkaia. Ivan Garcia Angulo, Basque Government Department of Health.
Regions4Climate: From Estuarine Restoration to Climate Resilience in the Basque Coast. Roland Garnier, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).
Exploring the influence of meteorological factors on the risk of eutrophication in the estuaries of the Basque Country. Marta Revilla, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).
The use of shade nets as a strategy for adapting vineyards to climate change in La Rioja. Javier Portu, Institute of Vine and Wine Sciences (Government of La Rioja, CSIC, UR).
Adapting vineyards to climate change through irrigation strategies based on the integration of field data and satellite remote sensing. Javier Portu, Institute of Vine and Wine Sciences (Government of La Rioja, CSIC, UR).
Persistent blooms of the harmful warm-water dinoflagellate Ostreopsis sp. in the south-east Bay of Biscay. Yago Laurenns-Balparda, University of the Basque Country (EHU).
Modeling plastic transport in coastal environments using a coupled Lagrangian-Eulerian framework. Pablo Vallés, I3A, University of Zaragoza.
Environmental assessment of low-trophic aquaculture in longline infrastructures using biobased gears. Leire Arantzamendi, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).
Application of AI-ML techniques to modelling the impact of marine and coastal hazards on the Basque coast. Santiago Gaztelumendi, Euskalmet – Basque Meteorological Agency.
IMPLACOST: From climate vulnerability to the operational management of coastal risk in the Canary Islands in the face of extreme events. Asier Borja Furundarena Hernández, Government of the Canary Islands.
The impact of climate change on the direction and magnitude of waves in the south-east of the Bay of Biscay. Isabel López Úbeda, University of Alicante.
Between urban pressure and natural resilience: vulnerability and exposure of the Valencian Community’s coastline. José Ignacio Pagán Conesa, University of Alicante.
Review and update of maximum sea levels in the estuaries of the Basque Country, taking into account sea-level rise. Pedro Liria, AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).
Coastal-fluvial compound flooding modelling under the influence of climate change. A case study for the city of Bayonne. Emiel Moerman, Shelf Models.
Application of the XBEACH model at Euskalmet for operational monitoring of storm surges. Antonio Castaño, Euskalmet – Basque Meteorological Agency.
Field observations and modelling of the waters of the southeastern Bay of Biscay. Luis Ferrer, AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA).
Towards a Physical Interpretation of the TKE-Based Breaking Closure in a Depth-Integrated Wave Model. Diego Slamovitz, University of Pau and the Adour Region (UPPA).
Assessment of the ecosystem services provided by dune systems within the Natura 2000 network in Bizkaia. Lorena Peña López, University of the Basque Country (EHU).
Implementation of the SCHISM model at Euskalmet and its application to the study of Txingudi Bay. Antonio Castaño, Euskalmet – Basque Meteorological Agency.
IDAFE: Climate Action and Innovation in the Education System. Sara Beatriz Santana Santana, Climate Change and Environmental Information Service. Deputy Ministry for Combating Climate Change, Government of the Canary Islands.
Strengthening coastal resilience through spatial planning: Insights from the German North Sea coast. Daniel Schick, University of Stuttgart, Institute of Spatial and Regional Planning.
The Littoral Observatory of the Emerald Coast and Mont-Saint-Michel Bay : Bridging Science and Policy Through Integrated Lidar, Hydrodynamic Modeling, and Virtual Reality Visualization. Laurine Nogue, Coastal GeoEcology Lab.
The IGS Reference Frame Transitions: IGb14 vs IGS20 as the Latest Frame. Joaquin Zurutuza, ARANZADI Society of Sciences.
Quadtree Mesh Method for Shallow Water Problems on Coastal Environment. Umberto Bosi, University of Pau and the Adour Region.

Descargar el programa en PDF

Descargar el libro de resúmenes de ponencias y comunicaciones

Revista de invetigación Marina – RIM AZTI - Abstract extendidos

Conference registration